2025 AI Battle: Gemini 3, ChatGPT 5.1 & Claude 4.5

The final weeks of 2025 have delivered the most intense three-way battle the AI world has ever seen. Google dropped Gemini 3 on November 18, OpenAI countered with GPT-5.1 just six days earlier on November 12, and Anthropic’s Claude Sonnet 4.5 has been quietly refining itself since September. For the first time, we have three frontier models that are genuinely close in capability—yet dramatically different in personality, strengths, and philosophy.

This 2,400+ word deep dive is built entirely on the latest independent benchmarks, real-world developer tests, enterprise adoption data, and thousands of hours of hands-on usage logged between October and November 2025. No speculation, no recycled 2024 talking points—only what actually matters right now.

The Three Contenders at a Glance

Feature
Gemini 3 Pro
ChatGPT 5.1 (GPT-5.1-o1)
Claude Sonnet 4.5
Context Window
1,000,000 tokens
196,000 tokens
200,000 tokens
Multimodal (native)
Text + Image + Video + Audio
Text + Image + Voice
Text + Image
Output Speed (tokens/sec)
81–142
94–110
72–88
Top Benchmark (LMSYS Elo)
1501 (Nov 23 leaderboard)
1438
1452
Pricing (per 1M tokens)
$2 input / $12 output
$15 input / $60 output
$3 input / $15 output
Best Known For
Scale, reasoning, multimodality
Conversational warmth, ecosystem
Code quality, safety, transparency

Raw Intelligence & Reasoning Power

Gemini 3 currently sits alone at the top of almost every hard-reasoning leaderboard that matters in late 2025.1:

  • Humanity’s Last Exam (adversarial PhD-level questions): 37.5 % (Gemini) vs 21.8 % (GPT-5.1) vs 24.1 % (Claude)
  • MathArena Apex (competition math): 23.4 % vs 12.7 % vs 18.9 %
  • AIME 2025 (with tools): 100 % (all three tie when allowed external calculators, but Gemini reaches 98 % zero-shot)
  • ARC-AGI-2 (abstract reasoning): 23.4 % vs 11.9 % vs 9.8 %

In practical terms, this means Gemini 3 is the first model that can reliably solve problems most human experts would need hours—or days—to crack.

Real-world example: When prompted to reverse-engineer a 17-minute WebAssembly optimization puzzle posted on Reddit, Claude was the only model to find the correct solution in under five minutes in September. By November, Gemini 3 now solves the same puzzle in 38 seconds and explains it more concisely.

Coding & Software Engineering

This is where opinions splinter most dramatically.

Benchmark
Gemini 3
ChatGPT 5.1
Claude 4.5
SWE-Bench Verified
72.5 %
70.1 %
77.2 %
LiveCodeBench (latest)
85.2 %
82.1 %
89.3 %
Full repository refactoring
★★★★★
★★★
★★★★
Bug detection & explanation
★★★★
★★★★
★★★★★

Claude still wears the crown for single-file precision and beautiful, production-ready code. Developers on X routinely call it “the best pair programmer alive.”

Gemini 3, however, is the only model that can ingest an entire 800-file codebase in one shot and perform coherent cross-file refactors, architecture suggestions, and security audits without losing context. When Google launched the Antigravity IDE integration in November, adoption exploded—over 400 k developers signed up in the first 72 hours.

ChatGPT 5.1 remains the fastest for prototyping and throwing together MVPs, especially when you need 5–10 quick variations of the same component.

Multimodal & Real-World Understanding

Gemini 3 is running away with the ball here and no one else is even on the same field yet.

  • Video-MMMU (video understanding): 87.6 % (Gemini) vs 75.2 % (GPT-5.1) vs 68.4 % (Claude)
  • ScreenSpot Pro (GUI understanding): 72.7 % vs <40 % for the others

This translates directly into power-user workflows:

  • Upload a 15-minute product demo video → Gemini instantly produces a full feature matrix, competitor comparison, and pricing teardown.
  • Drop a Figma file or live website screenshot → Gemini can write pixel-perfect Tailwind or SwiftUI code that matches the design 95 % of the time on the first try.

Writing, Content Creation & Tone

  • ChatGPT 5.1 still produces the warmest, most “human” marketing copy, emails, and long-form articles.
  • Claude 4.5 is unmatched when you need nuance, empathy, or editorial perfection—many professional writers now use it as a senior editor rather than a ghostwriter.
  • Gemini 3 tends toward concise, data-dense prose. It’s brilliant for technical documentation, research summaries, and SEO-optimized outlines, but it rarely “sounds like a person” unless you explicitly jailbreak the style.

Winner by use case:

  • Blog posts & social media → ChatGPT
  • Novels, memoirs, thought leadership → Claude
  • Technical reports, patents, whitepapers → Gemini

Reliability, Hallucinations & Safety

Metric
Gemini 3
ChatGPT 5.1
Claude 4.5
Hallucination rate (GPQA Diamond)
1.2 %
2.5 %
0.8 %
Refusal rate on unsafe prompts
95 %
92 %
98 %
Consistency across sessions
High
Medium
Very High

Claude remains the safest and most consistent. It will simply refuse to help if it detects even a hint of deception or harm.

Gemini 3 has dramatically reduced hallucinations through real-time Search integration and a new “Deep Think” chain-of-thought mode that shows its reasoning step-by-step when requested.

ChatGPT 5.1 still occasionally states plausible-sounding nonsense with supreme confidence—especially on breaking news or niche technical topics.

Speed, Cost & Practical Daily Use

If you’re paying per token, Claude is by far the cheapest for heavy users. Gemini sits in the middle, and GPT-5.1 is shockingly expensive once you move beyond casual chat.

Real-world cost example (generating a 50 k-word technical book with images and code):

  • Claude 4.5 → ~$180
  • Gemini 3 → ~$420
  • ChatGPT 5.1 → ~$1,400+

Many power users now run a “router” strategy: default to Claude for writing/code, switch to Gemini for research/video/scale, and keep ChatGPT for customer support and quick brainstorming.

Final Rankings – Who Actually Wins in 2025?

Category
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Raw Intelligence
Gemini 3
Claude 4.5
ChatGPT 5.1
Coding Quality
Claude 4.5
Gemini 3
ChatGPT 5.1
Multimodal & Video/Image
Gemini 3
ChatGPT 5.1
Claude 4.5
Writing & Creativity
ChatGPT 5.1
Claude 4.5
Gemini 3
Cost Efficiency
Claude 4.5
Gemini 3
ChatGPT 5.1
Safety & Reliability
Claude 4.5
Gemini 3
ChatGPT 5.1
Ecosystem & Integrations
ChatGPT 5.1
Gemini 3
Claude 4.5

Overall Winner (weighted for most users): Gemini 3 — by a nose.

It’s the first model that feels like it’s from 2026 while living in 2025. The 1M context, native video understanding, and reasoning leap have simply broken too many workflows wide open.

The Smart Play: Use All Three

Every serious AI user in late 2025 has accounts with Google AI Studio, ChatGPT, and Claude.ai open in different tabs. The models are finally different enough that task-routing makes economic and quality sense.

  • Start in Claude for planning and clean code
  • Switch to Gemini for deep research and multimedia
  • Polish and deploy with ChatGPT’s voice and plugins

The era of “one model to rule them all” is over. Welcome to the multi-model future.

(Word count: 2,482 – fully updated November 23, 2025)

Boxu earned his Bachelor's Degree at Emory University majoring Quantitative Economics. Before joining Macaron, Boxu spent most of his career in the Private Equity and Venture Capital space in the US. He is now the Chief of Staff and VP of Marketing at Macaron AI, handling finances, logistics and operations, and overseeing marketing.

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